Ransomware groups are constantly adapting their tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs) in response to advancements in cybersecurity, law enforcement efforts, and government regulations. Trend Micro’s latest research paper, titled “The Near and Far Future of Ransomware Business Models,” delves into potential evolutions in how these threat actors operate.
One key evolution highlighted in the report is the increased use of zero-day vulnerabilities to gain initial access to target networks. Ransomware groups may invest in developing their own vulnerability research and exploitation teams, or even engage in agreements with exploit developers to gain early access to new vulnerabilities.
Another potential shift in ransomware attacks involves a focus on targeting cloud infrastructure. Criminals could adapt their tactics to work in cloud environments, eventually creating cloud-specific ransomware families designed to exploit unique cloud services.
In addition to these tactical evolutions, Trend Micro also points to deeper changes in how ransomware groups monetize their activities. Some threat actors may align with governments or organized crime groups, while others may explore alternative criminal business models such as stocks fraud, business email compromise, and cryptocurrency theft.
As organizations bolster their cybersecurity defenses and authorities crack down on ransomware operations, threat actors are forced to adapt and innovate. By staying ahead of these evolving trends, businesses can better protect themselves against the growing threat of ransomware attacks.